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    November 05

    创业板已具备了制造惊天泡沫的先决条件

    1 流通盘小;
    2 大小非全部要再1~2年后释放;
    3 主板基本没有下跌空间,营造良好上升氛围;
    4 市场资金泛滥;
    5 换手充分;
    6 利益驱动,市场不会放过超过几倍的利润标的;
     
    风险:1 经济2次探底,就国内的信贷而言,由于大多为今年投放,基本上要等到1年以后才可能出现坏账苗头,这也给了短期炒作创业板提供了保障。
            2 国家出手调控,但从创业板开板第一天的交易情况看,政府出手不会“及时果断”

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