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    July 09

    对近来热点事件的思考

    7.5事件,民族矛盾为表,社会矛盾才是里。民众怒火为何总是一点即着,从各地群体性事件到7.5,背后隐现的可能都是社会矛盾不断激化的事实。从经济层面来看,这些社会矛盾应该主要体现在区域发展不平衡,贫富差距加大,利益群体分化等方面。

    力拓4名在华员工涉嫌窃取机密被拘,估计国内左派要击掌庆贺了。不知道这是否意味着所谓买办、汉奸卖国贼遭清洗的第一步?本世纪初以来的商品大牛市,连续不衰的是对“中国需求”,“金砖四国”的炒作。人类都要发展,西方发达国家也都经历过经济快速发展、对资源需求急剧攀升的阶段,为何到了“金砖四国”发展的时候就要造就商品大牛市呢?历史发展不可能完全重复,内中原因当然很多,但从阴暗的小人之心来度度看,买办汉奸对民族国家利益的出卖恐怕也是其中原因之一。铁矿石谈判、农产品采购、有色金属进口、能源进口。。。这是说国际大宗商品的事,还有外投、中投等海外巨亏,虽说有全球金融危机的掩护,内中乾坤是不是也值得我们去探究一下呢?从这条新闻再引申出去,很多机构预期中的下一波商品牛市的基础是否就此灰飞湮灭了呢?

    远一点的新闻还有北京地王被刷新,接盘者为国资背景地产公司。这不由地让我想起2005年以来的股票牛市当中,充斥着大量的私募价值发现,公募高位接盘的现象,房地产,是不是也要走这条路呢?

    附:过去150年油价走势(黄色线为2008年可比美元调整)

    Comments (3)

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    wrote:
    你好像什么事都习惯性的从经济的角度去分析去看问题。期待你的大脑里能长出除了“经济”以外的生物/
    July 19
    千年不变的规律
    July 12
    国有转私有,人民供地主
    July 12

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